The teams go into this fixture evenly matched this season, with both sides sitting on 21 points in the National League. They will both be looking for this game to help turn their seasons around, with Yeovil only picking up two points in the last five matches and Boston only picking up four.
Andy’s Bet Club’s football analyst will break down Boston’s recent clash with Carlisle to see what the statistics indicate about how they might set up against Yeovil.
Boston United vs Carlisle United
Despite Carlisle winning the game and having more possession, Boston will feel like they should have taken the points as they had more shots, more shots on target and also created a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.45 compared to Carlisle’s xG of 0.62.
Boston were quite direct in the game with a long pass percentage of 21.79% but this may have been caused by Carlisle’s approach off the ball. Carlisle had a PPDA (Passes Allowed per Defensive Action) score of 7.85 in the game, which indicates that they pressed high with a lot of intensity.
This direct approach from Boston was effective, with them having 25 touches in Carlisle’s penalty area. In comparison, Carlisle only managed 11 touches in Boston’s penalty area. Boston were also able to complete a combined 11 deep passes and crosses compared to Carlisle’s 5.
Final Thoughts
Although Boston lost their last fixture, Yeovil will need to be aware of the threat they pose from their direct play, as Boston were able to get into numerous goalscoring positions.
However, in their last fixture against Morecambe, Yeovil were dominant in their defensive duels with a success rate of 73% which is well above the league average. So if they put in a similar defensive performance in this upcoming fixture, they will be confident that they can withstand the direct approach from Boston.
Yeovil have set up in a 3-4-3 for the majority of this season, so will likely stick to the same formation for this upcoming game. Whereas Boston have regularly lined up in a variation of a 4-2-3-1 this season, but they did lose 3-1 to Rochdale in the last game that they played against a 3-4-3. Therefore, they may change their setup against Yeovil by matching up against them with a back 3/5.
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